Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 133.359489 146.176942 159.216842 173.449945 188.522057 203.982058 221.012969
2025-07-27 115.585835 135.257247 156.123009 179.791499 205.782011 233.345910 264.680081
2025-08-03 100.510044 125.026523 152.044655 183.751646 219.666640 258.823952 304.479641
2025-08-10 82.793303 109.665107 140.441936 177.776329 221.324481 270.027936 328.121764
2025-08-17 70.009285 98.470982 132.267369 174.515862 225.088276 282.900893 353.197052
2025-08-24 60.703644 90.378242 126.817552 173.622328 230.939388 297.711109 380.230709
2025-08-31 54.119503 84.942910 123.969473 175.319166 239.457887 315.388945 410.516899
2025-09-07 50.055324 82.321093 124.277746 180.624991 252.176975 338.011901 446.744199
2025-09-14 45.501432 78.538414 122.681373 183.187743 261.273561 356.151337 477.616452
2025-09-21 40.866257 74.160577 119.897410 183.878170 267.766998 370.963309 504.421584
2025-09-28 37.271093 70.920605 118.354741 185.953927 275.856923 387.669686 533.560772
2025-10-05 35.314680 69.929989 119.781272 191.906744 288.930225 410.652320 570.586642
2025-10-12 32.607637 67.611451 119.266626 195.276248 298.821254 429.965629 603.591686
2025-10-19 30.803085 66.563890 120.487336 201.009390 311.894003 453.473382 642.117491
2025-10-26 28.607081 64.663463 120.307343 204.697521 322.226457 473.547264 676.499038
2025-11-02 24.074792 58.319169 113.049246 197.977705 318.211992 474.885658 686.993147
2025-11-09 20.772711 53.728341 108.134393 194.325471 318.136109 481.176415 703.704620
2025-11-16 18.379349 50.511831 105.142332 193.291548 321.533902 491.951190 726.172835
2025-11-23 16.769636 48.604117 104.114426 195.079207 328.823547 507.887650 755.399673
2025-11-30 16.003448 48.291606 105.666815 200.762487 341.659201 531.321703 794.558483
2025-12-07 14.790331 46.917881 105.340450 203.505463 350.287841 549.141152 826.467603
2025-12-14 13.361198 44.903707 103.785041 204.241934 355.976409 562.983288 853.200079
2025-12-21 12.282711 43.520973 103.224924 206.468126 363.794315 579.737984 883.858199